Monday, May 19, 2008
Lorenz, Mandelbrot, and Ashby....
Lorenz and Mandelbrot were in a practical sense both 'mothers' of "chaos theory" because they both saw repeatable patterns where others saw only ambiguity, uncertainty, complexity, and unpredictability. Add the 'requisite variety' notion from Lord Ashby - that is complexity will only ever submit to variety - and then you have a workable theory for Web 3.0.
Web 3.0 is chaotic, patterned, complex, etc and yet it is predictable because it presents us with repeatable patterns.
Web 3.0 is patterned by what I have termed the "Chattering Clusters" - they in turn form into predictable Clans and Tribes. Like the weather patterns that Lorenz studied these "Chattering Clusters" are key factors on the flat world of the internet. These clusters are also affected by the equivalent of a butterfly flapping its wings in a rain forest in Brazil.
The Chattering Clusters are affected by 'a sudden shift in trust levels' that usually does occur in an obscure part of Web 3.0.
When this shift in trust occurs, sometimes for no visibly apparent reason, it directly impacts the formation and the implosion of Clans and Tribes.....
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